Technical market analysis combines the use of indicators and price movement analysis. For example, candlestick analysis will show you price changes on the chart.
The basic technical patterns have gained wide popularity in the cryptocurrency market due to their reliability and connection to crowd psychology.
These are trading patterns that tend to repeat. Thanks to them, traders or investors can predict future price movements.
All technical analysis patterns have solid foundations and years of trader experience.
RECOMMENDATION: technical analysis patterns should be confirmed by trend lines, support and resistance levels, and indicators.
Trend continuation patterns signal the probable continuation of the trend. Also known as consolidation[1] patterns because they appear during pullbacks. Some of these patterns can be reversal, depending on their position on the chart.
Trend continuation patterns include figures like flag, pennant, rectangle and triangle.
A flag is a period of consolidation that forms after a sharp price movement either up or down.
For the flag pattern in technical analysis, it is important that the price updates previous lows or highs. When this happens, we can expect the formation of a flag on the chart. If the price does not continue to move up or down after this, the trend is likely over, and looking for a flag is pointless.
RECOMMENDATION: Pay attention to trading volumes. The impulse up usually occurs on high volumes. Conversely, the consolidation phase occurs on decreasing volumes.
A flag consists of three parts:
After a sharp rise in the uptrend, a bullish flag usually forms, often predicting its continuation.
Figure 1 – "Bullish Flag and Its Elements"
In a downtrend, after a sharp fall, a bearish flag usually appears, often leading to the continuation of the downtrend.
Figure 2 – "Bearish Flag and Its Elements"
A pennant resembles a horizontal triangle, within which price fluctuations decrease.
This pattern leads to a breakout of the upper boundary of the bullish or bearish trend.
!!! NOTE: The pennant can be considered by updating the dips or peaks. The pennant forms after a strong trend impulse.
A pattern indicating the continuation of the bullish trend.
Figure 3 – "Pennant and Its Elements in an Uptrend"
A pattern indicating the continuation of the bearish trend.
Figure 4 – "Pennant and Its Elements in a Downtrend"
A rectangle marks a stable area of demand and supply, where the price is temporarily stuck until sufficient market participant forces appear to continue the trend.
If a rectangle (sideways movement) forms on the chart, it signals a temporary pause in the struggle between bulls and bears.
RECOMMENDATION: Pay attention to the trend in which the rectangle forms. This affects the entry points into trades.
This is a temporary price plateau where the market rests before potentially continuing upward.
Important features:
Figure 5 – "Rectangle in an Uptrend and Its Elements"
This is a situation where prices temporarily stop at one level before falling again.
Important features:
Figure 6 – "Rectangle in a Downtrend and Its Elements"
This model where upper and lower lines are formed based on price extremes. These lines can converge or diverge, creating either a contracting or expanding figure.
The important side in the triangle is the one indicating the current trend. When the price breaks this boundary, the trend continues.
It is important to pay attention to:
!!! NOTE: The height of the triangle determines how much the price can rise or fall after its breakout.
A trend continuation pattern indicating a strong upward movement after the breakout.
Key Features:
Fig. 7 - "Triangle in an Uptrend and Its Elements"
A trend continuation pattern indicating a strong downward movement after the breakout.
Key Features:
Fig. 8 - "Triangle in a Downtrend and Its Elements"
Patterns on a chart indicating a change in trend direction.
Reversal patterns include: double top (M pattern); double bottom (W pattern); head and shoulders; inverse head and shoulders; cup with handle; inverted cup with handle; rising wedge, falling wedge.
A pattern where two points at the top of the chart where prices cannot rise above. This means the trend may change from bullish to bearish. Sometimes there are three peaks, but it's the same idea - the price cannot break the resistance zone.
The double top forms after reaching a price peak. Variations of a double top:
There is a low point between the two peaks - the neckline. The distance from the neckline to the second peak indicates how much the price can fall after the reversal.
Fig. 9 - "Double Top Pattern"
A mirrored pattern of the double top (M pattern). It occurs after the price reaches the same low support level twice (sometimes thrice) and cannot go lower. This pattern signals a possible end to the downtrend and the start of an uptrend.
The double bottom forms after reaching the lowest point in a downtrend. Characteristics:
Fig. 10 - "Double Bottom Pattern"
A pattern consisting of three peaks signaling the end of a rise. Such a figure forms at the peaks of a bullish trend.
Characteristics:
All peaks form at support and resistance levels. Often the first and third peaks are symmetrical and at the same level. If the right shoulder is lower than the left, it indicates a strong reversal and predicts a sustained price decrease.
Fig. 11 - "Head and Shoulders Pattern"
The mirrored version of the regular Head and Shoulders pattern. It appears after a downtrend and signals the beginning of an uptrend.
Characteristics:
The height of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern indicates the distance the price will move upwards after completing the reversal pattern.
Fig. 12 - "Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern"
This figure shows the transition from a downtrend to an uptrend, forming a cup.
Characteristics:
Fig. 13 - "Cup and Handle"
This figure shows the transition from an uptrend to a downtrend, forming an inverted cup. Essentially, it's the mirrored pattern of a cup and handle.
Characteristics:
Fig. 14 - "Inverted Cup and Handle"
A pattern that forms a narrowing triangle pointing upwards. When the rising wedge appears at the top of a trend, it indicates a possible reversal, and a price decline is expected.
Characteristic: the height of the base - the distance the price can fall.
Fig. 15 - "Rising Wedge"
!!! NOTE: the rising wedge pattern also serves as a trend continuation pattern.
If the rising wedge forms during a downtrend, it indicates a temporary pullback, and the probability of further decline remains.
A similar pattern to the rising wedge. The falling wedge serves as a reversal signal if formed in a downtrend or indicates a trend continuation if it occurs in an uptrend.
Characteristic: the height of the base - the distance the price can rise.
Fig. 16 - "Falling Wedge"
These are patterns that do not have a clear market direction and can be interpreted as signals for both uptrends and downtrends
Patterns of uncertainty include: symmetrical triangle.
Formed as a result of a narrowing trading range. It forms between the descending trend line (line connecting subsequent highs) and the ascending trend line (line connecting subsequent higher lows).
As the trend lines converge, a symmetrical triangle is formed, indicating a balance between bulls and bears. In other words, the market is in an uncertain phase.
Fig. 17 - "Symmetrical Triangle"
Technical analysis is based on the study of price charts. For an investor or trader, they serve as one of the sources of information, showing past and current trends. The main patterns of technical analysis help interpret asset behavior. At the same time, it's necessary to analyze the market situation as a whole and study trader behavior to confirm your purchases or sales.
!!! NOTE: please, observe risks and money management.
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[1] Consolidation - a period when the price of an asset moves within a narrow range, not indicating a clear upward or downward trend.
[2] Extreme - a point on the chart that is either the highest (maximum) or lowest (minimum) for a certain period of time.